I hope you can keep up the great work! Our civilization needs this.

I support this important policy initiative.

Hope this & some spreading the word helps you all push for important policy changes

A policy shop working to implement the civilizational low-hanging fruit.

Balsa Research is a nonpartisan 501(c)(3) non-profit focused on crafting shovel-ready policies that actually address core underlying human needs. We model issues, draft viable legislation, commission academic studies, spread ideas, and work to enact change.

Balsa will focus initially on some combination of four fronts: Repealing the Jones Act, Reimagining NEPA, ensuring housing gets built where people want to live, and protecting against the risk that AI will cause human extinction.

We take a full stack approach to policy:
1. Model the world. Find improvements that balance viability with physical impact.
2. Compile options into Official Policy Binder and Official Solutions Website.
3. Commission proper academic work to credibly quantify impacts on all fronts.
4. Use this as an opportunity to run experiments and learn more.
5. Draft model legislation using learnings.
6. Spread the world via media and writing.
7. Lobby. Pitch members of Congress and their staff. Do the work. Find champions.
8. Start small if necessary. Wins beget wins.


Balsa Policy Institute Inc.

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Lucky to have come into some money, looking to give it away primarily to environment-focused organizations.

**The Jones Act**

The Jones Act requires ships carrying cargo between two American ports to be American built, American owned, American manned and American flagged.

We aim to raise at least an additional $40,000 to fund two studies, one a gravity model of all domestic and international trade, and one focused case study on California agricultural goods, to robustly estimate and demonstrate the costs of this policy.

While protectionist laws around shipping are common, the Jones Act is uniquely restrictive – maybe the most [most restrictive](https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0022199620300933) among all OECD countries. The result: despite 40% of the US population living in coastal counties and our two enormous coasts, [under 4%](https://data.bts.gov/stories/s/Moving-Goods-in-the-United-States/bcyt-rqmu/) of domestic freight is transported by ship.

Balsa Research believes that this has tremendous impacts on commerce, the economy, and the environment. However, the Jones Act's century-long enforcement has so profoundly shaped American maritime policy and infrastructure that assessing its true impact through counterfactuals is exceptionally challenging. This entrenched policy has created a status quo that's difficult to see beyond, making rigorous economic analysis all the more crucial.

**Our Call For Research**

Building on this understanding, earlier this year, [Balsa Research put out a call](https://https://www.balsaresearch.com/blog/announcing-the-jones-act-rfa) for economists to work with us on assessing the cost of the Jones Act. We know that the findings of robust academic studies matter to legislators and key interest groups, and our ultimate goal is to deliver credible studies with legible, practical policy proposals.

An internal literature review had revealed a landscape dominated by policy analyses from wonks and legal scholars – nuanced and well-argued, but often lacking in hard numbers. The few economic analyses we encountered were generally limited in scope, focusing on specific fields and impacts without grappling with the broader implications for the US economy as a whole.

To address this gap, we've received two promising proposals that take different yet complementary approaches:

1. **Macro-level Trade Impact Model**: This ambitious proposal aims to construct a large-scale detailed gravity model of domestic and international trade flows across the complex network of routes, evaluating the Jones Act's comprehensive impact on US trade patterns. This will create a "gains from trade" view of the Act and its potential repeal. By comparing the current constrained system with a hypothetical unconstrained one within this model, the study will estimate the hidden costs and inefficiencies introduced by the Jones Act.
2. [the Jones Act’s impact on US petroleum markets](https//www.nber.org/papers/w31938)**Micro-level Agricultural Commodity Analysis**: This focused study proposes to examine the impact of the Jones Act on U.S. domestic agricultural trade, with a particular emphasis on California-produced goods, aiming to pinpoint the exact impact of the Jones Act on on the mode and cost of transportation and importantly carbon emissions. Similar to the methodology used in a recent paper on [he Jones Act’s impact on US petroleum markets](https://https://www.nber.org/papers/w31938), this granular analysis will provide concrete, quantifiable evidence of the Act's effects. By focusing on a specific sector and nailing down all the concrete details, this research could offer valuable hard data to support broader reform efforts and be extended by further research.

Both of these approaches have the potential to significantly advance our understanding of the Jones Act's economic impact. By funding both studies, we can create a powerful, multi-faceted case for Jones Act reform.

Balsa Research now faces a pivotal decision. We can comfortably fund one of these studies, but we believe funding both would provide a stronger argument for the Jones Act's impact.

**The Fundraising Goal**

To comfortably fund both studies, we need to raise an additional $40,000. This amount would allow us to support both research teams adequately.

**Timeline**

Due to how the academic calendar functions, we have a relatively short window – about a month – to secure this funding. Researchers are planning their upcoming academic year, and we need to confirm our support soon to ensure their commitment.

**The Impact**

We're not promising overnight policy change. The Jones Act has persisted for a century, and shifting such entrenched legislation is a gradual process. However, we believe these studies can meaningfully contribute to the ongoing debate by providing solid, quantitative evidence where it's currently lacking.

If you value evidence-based policy and see the potential in this research, we invite you to contribute. Every donation, regardless of size, brings us closer to funding both studies and enhancing the policy conversation around the Jones Act.

Help Fund Two Studies on The Jones Act

Help Us Quantify the Costs of the Jones Act

**What We Did in 2024**

Our work this year focused on building a robust foundation for future policy change:

In May, we opened up an [RFP for academic studies](https://www.balsaresearch.com/jones-act-rfa) to deliver up-to-date rigorous quantifications of the economic costs of the Jones Act. We’ve since accepted proposals from two teams of academics that we are excited to work with from top econ programs in the US. The contracts have been signed, the data sets required for the work are getting paid for, and the academics are now in the process of starting work on their analyses.

The two proposals take complementary approaches:

- **A Macro-level Trade Impact Model**: This proposal aims to construct a large-scale detailed gravity model of domestic and international trade flows across the complex network of routes, evaluating the Jones Act's comprehensive impact on US trade patterns. This will create a "gains from trade" view of the Act and its potential repeal. By comparing the current constrained system with a hypothetical unconstrained one within this model, the study will estimate the hidden costs and inefficiencies introduced by the Jones Act.
- **A Micro-level Agricultural Commodity Analysis**: This proposal focuses on the impact of the Jones Act on U.S. inter-state agricultural trade, with a particular emphasis on California-produced goods, aiming to pinpoint the exact impact of the Jones Act on their transportation and pricing. Similar to the methodology used in a recent paper on the[ Jones Act’s impact on US petroleum markets](http://https//www.nber.org/papers/w31938), this granular analysis will provide concrete, quantifiable evidence of the Act's effects on specific goods. By focusing on a specific sector and concrete details, this research could offer valuable hard data to support broader reform efforts and be extended by further research.

Both of these approaches have the potential to significantly advance our understanding of the Jones Act's economic impact – one at a state level, and one at a national one. By funding both studies, we’re looking to create a stronger case for Jones Act reform.

We have also published [The Jones Act Post](https://thezvi.substack.com/p/repeal-the-jones-act-of-1920). This is the result of months of research, interviews with experts in the policy sphere and various stakeholders, and the careful curation of so many twitter posts.

We’ve also continued to develop relationships with key players and experts to better understand both the technical challenges and political dynamics around potential reform.

While our progress has been measured, we've prioritized getting things right over moving quickly. Policy change requires careful groundwork - especially on an issue where entrenched interests have successfully resisted reform for a century.

**Looking Ahead to 2025**

With this foundation in place, we’re positioned to accelerate our work in 2025. We’re looking to do the following:

1. Launch a second round of targeted academic research, focusing on specific costs and impacts of the Jones Act, informed by the preliminary findings of studies funded in our first round.
2. Conduct an analysis of key players' interests and constraints to identify viable reform paths. 
3. Building on all of our existing research, develop detailed and viable policy proposals that address key stakeholder concerns, including:
- Protecting union jobs and worker interests
- Maintaining military readiness and security capabilities
- Structuring viable transition paths and compensation mechanisms
4. Draft model legislation that can serve as a foundation for reform.

From the very beginning, our philosophy has been to focus on the useful groundwork that enables real policy change, and this is where our focus remains. Additional funding would allow us to expand our impact and accelerate our work.

**Why Support Balsa Now**

Balsa Research continues to believe that the Jones Act represents a unique opportunity - a clear policy failure where relatively modest investment in research and coalition-building could unlock enormous economic benefits. To be clear: we have funding for our core 2025 initiatives outlined above. Additional support would allow us to expand our impact through the following activities:

- **Industry and labor outreach ($5,000)**
Fund attendance at three key maritime industry and union conferences to build relationships with people working in shipping, unions, and policy. This would cover registration fees, travel, and accommodations.
- **Research & Analysis** **($30,000)**
Fund an additional academic study to strengthen the empirical case for reform, complementing our existing research initiatives.
- **Policy Engagement** **($85,000)**
Hire a DC-based policy liaison to build ongoing relationships with key policymakers. This would help us better understand their needs and priorities, allowing us to create more targeted and timely policy documents that directly address their concerns.

While changing century-old policy is never easy, we see a real path to progress through careful, methodical work to build both the case for and the solutions needed for reform.

We invite you to join us in this effort.

Balsa Policy Institute Inc.

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Balsa Policy Institute Inc.