AI Futures Project

The AI Futures Project is a 501(c)(3) nonprofit research organization. Our first major publication was AI 2027, a scenario forecast detailing the development of artificial general intelligence (AGI) and artificial superintelligence (ASI). Based on our research, we’ve come to believe that we might cross the thresholds to AGI and ASI within just a few years—and that plausible outcomes include unprecedented concentration of power, global catastrophe, or progress and flourishing.

The world is not ready for such a radical transformation. Our second major publication was AI 2040 lays out what we think should happen instead: a coordinated U.S.-China effort to delay the development of superintelligence until 2040, make all AI research public, allow dozens of companies globally to catch up to the frontier, and intentionally enter a regime of mutually assured compute destruction.

We hope to help policymakers, AI companies, AI entrepreneurs, AI safety researchers, and the general public to make sense of what’s coming, so they can take action and steer us in a better direction. In addition to our scenario forecast, we are developing policy recommendations and tabletop exercises (wargames) for decisionmakers.