Conjecture Institute Ramps Up
In our first 15 months, Conjecture Institute has published 4 books, hosted an in-person event with attendees from around the world, and recruited 16 Fellows, 2 Senior Scientists, and 1 Ambassador. Our Advisors include physicist and philosopher David Deutsch, computer scientist and philosopher Judea Pearl, author and former Conservative MEP Daniel Hannan, and philosopher and Executive Director of the National Progress Alliance Peter Boghossian. Everything that Conjecture Institute does is a kind of applied optimism —we are correcting many of humanity's errors with some of our deepest, yet widely unknown, ideas. Examples include the role of error correction in morality, counterfactuals in physics, freedom in parenting, creativity in artificial general intelligence, knowledge creation in economics, and objectivity in aesthetics. Every book, research paper, documentary, and event that we've delivered is because of donations from you and people like you. As we explain below, we have concrete plans for other projects that we want to deliver, but we can't do it without your help. In addition to the perks we offer, know that we are eternally grateful for your support and will continue to grow Conjecture Institute in size, scope, and influence. Perks Founding Donors ($1M+): In recognition of this generous support, Founding Donors are acknowledged across all Institute publications and media, with recognition that reflects the lasting impact of their foundational contribution. Platinum Donors ($100K+ per year): In recognition of this generous support, Platinum Donors are acknowledged in select Institute publications and media each year, corresponding to the projects and programs their annual gifts make possible. Gold Donors ($40K+ per year): In recognition of this generous support, Gold Donors are acknowledged in one Institute publication each year, reflecting the projects and programs underway at the time of their contribution. Silver Donors ($10K+ per year): In recognition of this generous support, Silver Donors are acknowledged in annual communications and listed on our Donors page. Bronze Donors ($1K+ per year): In recognition of this generous support, Bronze Donors are acknowledged in annual communications and listed on our Donors page. Our current goal is to raise $1 million in 2026. The first $50,000 ensures that we can continue to publish as many books per year as we want. Our next book, Bold Conjectures, Volume II: Essays Across Physics, is only one in a long series of planned compendia that will cover fundamental issues such as the battle for civilization, causality, biology, lessons from history, and artificial general intelligence. The first $100,000 allows us to recruit several new Fellows with whom we have been in contact. These individuals focus on subjects ranging from physics (constructor theory) to aesthetics, and their output ranges from original research to video content creation to book writing. In short, the first $50,000 allows us to grow our team, produce more content, and increase our contributions to fundamental research. The first $200,000 allows us to increase our course offerings at Conjecture University. While we currently have a sizable batch of course modules, we would like to cover even more subjects and in even finer detail. The first $300,000 allows us to support our current batch of affiliates such that they can devote more of their time to original research and Conjecture Institute-specific projects. For example, many of our Fellows are writing books only when they have time. This level of donation would provide them with enough freedom to see their work through to completion much sooner than is currently possible. The first $400,000 allows us to support Conjecture Institute-affiliated events and chapters across the globe. We have already supported one such event, and we are in communication with a few parties who would love to launch local chapters of likeminded enthusiasts. The first $600,000 allows us to significantly support our Senior Scientists, Chiara Marletto and Vlatko Vedral, and their peers as they work on constructor theory and related areas in fundamental physics. The first $800,000 allows us to fund more Conjecture Studios projects, such as documentaries and animated films that some of our Fellows have already begun to work on. The first $1,000,000 ensures that we remain in operation for the indefinite future. (may not fit anymore) This is not just abstract philosophizing—in our Handbook, we explain how our affiliates have already done exactly this across several areas. For example, our first book, The Sovereign Child by Conjecture Institute Cofounder Aaron Stupple with President Logan Chipkin, explains how our best ideas in epistemology can revolutionize our conception of children and parenthood. Our Senior Scientists Vlatko Vedral and Chiara Marletto have used constructor theory, a new fundamental theory in physics, to develop an innovative, cost-effective experiment that will test whether gravity has quantum properties. Our Fellow Carlos De la Guardia is applying our best ideas in epistemology to tackling the problem of how to create an artificial general intelligence. Check out our Handbook here: https://www.conjectureinstitute.org/assets/Handbook.pdf Conjecture Institute consists of three main branches: Conjecture University includes original research in fundamental physics and mathematics as conducted by select Fellows and our Senior Scientists. It also includes online courses for public consumption. Link: https://www.conjectureinstitute.org/university Conjecture Press is our in-house book publishing arm. We have already published three books and have two more currently in production: The Farthest Reaches by Ambassador Brett Hall and Bold Conjectures, Volume II: Essays Across Physics. Link: https://www.conjectureinstitute.org/press Conjecture Studios is our media arm, which includes documentaries, science fiction films, and our podcast. Fellow Arjun Khemani's documentary, Lords of the Cosmos, is a prime example. We are currently producing Fellow Dimitri Vallein's upcoming short film, The Day I Met You. Link: https://www.conjectureinstitute.org/studios In addition to our three main branches, we host an annual in-person event and online conferences. Link: https://www.conjectureinstitute.org/events We've demonstrated that we're fully capable of delivering across all of these areas. To continue to bring all of these products to fruition, we rely on donations from people like you. Thanks for your support! Best, Logan Chipkin, Aaron Stupple, & David Kedmey